Technology · Technology Hardware
Jabil (JBL)
Jabil is contract manufacturing at thin margins: 8.9% gross margin, a six-day cash cycle after selling receivables, and concentrated customers.
Selborne Research · · Company Profile
Educational analysis. This profile is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and it is not personalised.
Snapshot
- FY2025 Revenue
- $29.8B
- Gross Margin
- 8.9% (FY2025)
- Operating Margin
- 4.0% (FY2025)
- Inventory
- $4.7B (FY2025)
- Cash Conversion Cycle
- 6 days (FY2025)
- Five Largest Customers
- ~36% of revenue
- Receivables Sold
- ~$1.3B (FY2025)
- Free Cash Flow
- $1.2B (FY2025)
Business Overview
Jabil is electronics manufacturing services at thin margins with fast capital turns. FY2025 (year to 31 August 2025) revenue was $29.8B. Gross margin was 8.9% and operating margin 4.0%. R&D was 0.1% of revenue. Stock-based compensation was 0.4%. Free cash flow (operating cash flow less gross capex) was $1.2B. Inventory was $4.7B.
Cash conversion cycle was 6 days (DIO 63, DSO 49, DPO 107) after the company sold about $1.3B of receivables ($927M + $372M) it would otherwise carry. The five largest customers were about 36% of revenue. Company-adjusted free cash flow was $1.3B (operating cash flow less net capex).
How the Numbers Read
An 8.9% gross margin and 4.0% operating margin look thin next to a brand or a networking company. The economics work only if capital turns fast. A six-day cash conversion cycle, helped by selling receivables, keeps invested capital small relative to revenue. Inventory of $4.7B is still large in dollars; the days maths is what keeps the cycle short.
Customer concentration at about 36% for the top five is the programme risk: a lost programme removes revenue that was largely pass-through. Stock pay at 0.4% barely moves free cash flow. The EMS economics guide is built around why a mid-single-digit operating margin can still earn on capital when the cash cycle stays short.
How the Model Values This Kind of Company
Contract manufacturing sets revenue as customer programme volume times a pass-through value per unit: the manufacturer is paid for building someone else's product. Gross margin is a single thin line. Working-capital days are the main capital claim; ROIC (NOPAT over net working capital plus net PP&E) is the screen that separates a 4% margin on fast-turning capital from a 30% margin on little.
Terminal value uses mid-cycle free cash flow, and stock pay is charged. Cycle amplitude often sits with the customers; the model can run without a product-cycle swing by default.
What to Watch in the Financials
Cash conversion cycle and receivables sold. 6 days after about $1.3B of receivables sold. Without factoring, DSO and CCC would be longer.
Gross and operating margin. 8.9% and 4.0%. Small moves in either direction matter because the base is thin.
Five largest customers. About 36% of revenue. Programme wins and losses at that group move the top line.
Inventory. $4.7B. Absolute stock risk remains even when days look short.
Key Risks
Programme concentration. About 36% of revenue in five customers means a single lost programme is material.
Working-capital dependence on receivables sales. The six-day CCC relies in part on selling about $1.3B of receivables; less factoring lengthens the cycle and raises invested capital.
Thin operating margin. At 4.0%, cost overruns or under-absorbed overhead flow quickly into losses on a programme.
Inventory absolute size. $4.7B of inventory is large even at 63 days if customer forecasts miss.
Technology Hardware Sector Primer
A hardware DCF carries the product cycle through ten explicit years, then strikes the terminal value on what the business earns in a normal year rather than at the peak.
- 17 sections, from units, price and the product cycle to working capital in days, mid-cycle margins and a reverse DCF
- 43 pages
- a device brand, a networking maker, a contract manufacturer and a storage maker, all fictional
- 4 worked valuations
- listed hardware makers on filed margins, working-capital days and purchase commitments, each with its fiscal year
- 7-company screen
The Excel model is the primer's product-cycle DCF live across 13 sheets: a device brand, a networking maker, a contract manufacturer and a storage maker, all fictional, plus a column for a company of your own in any of five business-model modes. Revenue is built from trend units, a yearly cycle index and price, with a recurring line on the installed base and an order book for networking; gross margin carries a fixed share of cost of goods, so it rises and falls with the cycle; working capital runs in days; capex funds growth; and the terminal value is struck on mid-cycle cash flow. A reverse DCF reads the margin and the unit growth a price requires, and the sensitivity grids re-run the model in every cell. Change the cycle, the days or the margin and the value moves.
See what's in the Technology Hardware Sector Primer →£25 PDF · £59 with the Excel model · £159 for all three Technology industries
Learn the Concepts
Understand the valuation frameworks and metrics used in this analysis.
Cash Conversion Cycle by Hardware Company
Seven hardware filers ranked by cash conversion cycle with DIO, DSO and DPO beside each figure, including why the short Jabil cycle follows receivables sold.
EMS Economics: Thin Margins and ROIC
Contract manufacturers can earn a return on capital with single-digit gross margins when capital turns fast. Jabil FY2025 as the worked case.
More Technology Research
Technology Hardware guides
- Negative Cash Conversion Cycles in Hardware
- Cash Conversion Cycle by Hardware Company
- Purchase Commitments vs Inventory in Hardware
- EMS Economics: Thin Margins and ROIC
- Mid-Cycle Margins for Hardware Companies
- Gross Margin Ranges in Hardware Since FY2016
- Hardware Product vs Services Gross Margin
- PC and Smartphone Replacement Cycles