Agribusiness · Aquaculture
Bakkafrost (BAKKA)
Faroes versus Scotland: 106,823 t harvested in FY2025, Faroe EBIT/kg of DKK 5.17 against Scotland's DKK -17.77, and DKK 172m of Scottish incident mortality.
Selborne Research · · Equity Research Profile
Educational analysis for professional use. This profile is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and it is not personalised.
Snapshot
- Scotland Harvest (FY2025)
- 23,185 t
- FY2025 Harvest, Gutted Weight
- 106,823 t
- Faroe EBIT/kg
- DKK 5.17/kg
- Scotland EBIT/kg
- DKK -17.77/kg
- Fish in the Sea, 31 Dec 2025
- 75,024 t
- Net Interest-Bearing Debt
- DKK 3,897m
- Faroe Harvest (FY2025)
- 83,638 t
- Scotland Incident Mortality
- DKK 172m (FY2025)
Business Overview
Bakkafrost farms salmon in two places that earned opposite results in FY2025. Its Faroese farming made DKK 5.17 of operational EBIT on every kg, and its Scottish farming lost DKK 17.77. Operational EBIT is the profit measure salmon farmers report that leaves out the accounting revaluation of fish still in the sea, so it tracks the fish actually sold.
It harvested 106,823 t gutted weight, 83,638 t in the Faroe Islands and 23,185 t in Scotland. It reports in DKK and lists on Oslo Børs in NOK; the Faroese figure is about NOK 8.1/kg at the 2025 average DKK/NOK rate (Norges Bank). It files no farming cost per kg, so operational EBIT per kg is the figure to compare; the cost-per-kg guide explains why the two measures answer different questions.
How the Numbers Read
The two margins do not average out. Weighted by harvest, Scotland's loss (about DKK 412m) almost cancelled Faroese farming profit (about DKK 432m). Most of group operational EBIT of DKK 888m came from Bakkafrost's other businesses, such as its fish feed.
Scotland's losses were biological. Its Scottish farming recognised DKK 172m of incident-based mortality in FY2025, the cost of fish lost in specific events. DKK 55m of it came in Q4, mainly at its Portree site after an outbreak of Pasteurella, a bacterial disease. The biological risk guide shows how mortality can erase one region's margin while another holds.
Capacity is disclosed differently from Norway. Bakkafrost reports the fish actually in the sea, 75,024 t at 31 December 2025, which is the harvest still to come, not a licence limit. The Faroes set no fixed biomass cap per licence. Licences run for 12 years, renewal is in effect guaranteed if conditions are met, and the number of fish is approved for each production cycle on the farmer's record for environment, fish health, lice and mortality; there are no Norwegian-style traffic lights (Falkland Islands Government report after a May 2025 visit to Faroese regulators). The MAB guide contrasts this with Norway's licence caps.
Net interest-bearing debt was DKK 3,897m at 31 December 2025, 4.4 times FY2025 group operational EBIT.
Valuation Framework
EV per kg for Bakkafrost works as it does for Norwegian farmers: farming enterprise value divided by annual gutted-weight harvest, with non-farming assets such as the feed business taken out where possible. Model Scotland's losses and its smaller scale region by region, since a Norwegian farmer's figure fits neither.
Tax differs too. Norway's 25% resource-rent tax on salmon farming does not apply. The Faroes tax salmon farming revenue instead. Bakkafrost booked DKK 174m of revenue tax in FY2025, DKK 158m of it in Faroese farming, and adds it back to reach operational EBIT; a cash-flow valuation has to take it off again. Convert DKK results such as EBIT per kg at the average rate for the period they cover, and balance-sheet and market values at the rate on the valuation date.
What to Watch in the Financials
Scotland's path to breakeven. Until Scotland stops losing money, the group's farming profit rests on the Faroes. Each quarter's incident mortality, with Scotland's harvest weights, shows whether the biology has changed.
Harvest mix. At FY2025 margins, each percentage point of harvest that moves from the Faroes to Scotland takes about DKK 0.23/kg off farming EBIT per kg (5.17 + 17.77 = 22.94, times 1%).
Key Risks
Concentration in the Faroes. 78% of FY2025 harvest came from the Faroes, so Faroese biology or regulation reaches the whole company.
Salmon price. A fall in the salmon price comes almost straight off EBIT per kg, because farming cost is committed before harvest. On the Faroese margin, each DKK 1/kg is about a fifth of the profit.
Two fictional salmon farmers and a farm you set up yourself, each valued after tax year by year, with EV per kg and an EBIT multiple as cross-checks.
- 15 sections, from how a salmon farmer earns to licence capacity, biological risk and a worked valuation
- 40 pages
- a low-cost scale farmer, a high-cost regional farmer and a farm you set up yourself
- 3 farm engines
- listed salmon farmers across Norway, the Faroes, Scotland and Chile on filed FY2025 figures
- 6-company screen
The Excel model is the primer's farming valuation live across 12 sheets: two hypothetical farmers and a farm you set up yourself, each valued on an after-tax DCF that includes Norway's resource-rent tax on salmon farming, with EV per kg and an EBIT multiple as cross-checks; a valuation summary, an EBIT-per-kg and cost-stack view, capacity against EV per kg, a cycle and biological downturn scenario and a live sensitivity grid of salmon price against farming cost. Change the price, the farming cost or the harvest and the value moves.
See what's in the Aquaculture Sector Primer →£25 PDF · £59 with the Excel model · £159 for all three Agribusiness industries
Learn the Concepts
Understand the valuation frameworks and metrics used in this analysis.
Salmon Farming Economics: Cost per kg
What Mowi's cost in box and Grieg's farming cost include, and why each farmer's EBIT per kg has to be read on its own definition before comparing farmers.
Licence and MAB Capacity Constraints
Maximum allowed biomass and the harvest lag, SalMar 173,118 t vs Lerøy 117,500 t vs Grieg 17,800 t, how Norway adds capacity, and how the Faroes regulate instead.
Biological Risk: Lice, Mortality, Regulation
Norwegian sea lice limits, traffic-light capacity effects, FY2025 mortality and survival markers at Mowi, Lerøy and Grieg, and how biology flows to EBIT/kg.
Operational EBIT vs Reported EBIT in Salmon Farming
How IAS 41 values fish still in the sea at forward prices, what operational EBIT removes, and the FY2025 reconciliations at five salmon farmers.